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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 08:41 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Down🗓️ settles Jul 9, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
53¢
DOWN
46¢
UP
53¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.6K+$668$933
Holders40+1030
Trades125+23102
DOWN
46¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.4%
−1.8 pp
44.3%
Avg ROI2.6%
+2.0 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.89
−0.20×
×1.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
−0.18×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$70
−$96
$167
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.20
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL11.8%
+18.4 pp
-6.7%
Underwater %1.0%
−89.7 pp
90.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.0%
+21.2 pp
16.8%
Bot %41.8%
+14.6 pp
27.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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