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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-01 08:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$12K$9.7K
Holders273+44229
Trades2.5K−5403.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
+16.0 pp
36.6%
Avg ROI3.3%
−5.2 pp
8.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−27.26×
×27.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−26.07×
×26.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.7K
+$6.4K
$3.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL55.7%
+152.1 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.5 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.9%
+14.0 pp
59.9%
Bot %67.2%
+7.4 pp
59.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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