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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 22?

data as of 2026-07-21 01:08 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 22, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
90¢
NO
10¢
YES
90¢
YesY-NNo
Position$105−$135$240
Holders22−224
Trades32−1042
NO
10¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.7%
+34.3 pp
3.4%
Avg ROI2.8%
−110.7 pp
113.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
+$4
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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