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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-28 02:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.5K−$6.5K$9.0K
Holders172+17155
Trades1.3K+385922
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−5.4 pp
54.6%
Avg ROI2.6%
+2.2 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.67
+5.86×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.84
+7.03×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.4K
−$5.8K
$8.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.3%
−114.4 pp
26.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.2 pp
0.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.6%
−6.9 pp
32.5%
Bot %46.8%
−21.4 pp
68.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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