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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-03-20 07:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K+$24K$14K
Holders424+3421
Trades4.2K−2374.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.0%
+11.3 pp
45.7%
Avg ROI-0.9%
−0.6 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−29.65×
×30.29
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−28.59×
×29.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26.2K
+$12.8K
$13.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL55.0%
+151.5 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %0.1%
−97.8 pp
97.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.9%
+6.2 pp
75.7%
Bot %81.8%
+6.2 pp
75.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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