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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

data as of 2026-05-17 03:20 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$15K$4.5K
Holders389−45434
Trades2.8K−2283.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.1%
+12.8 pp
42.4%
Avg ROI1.3%
−8.6 pp
9.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−19.67×
×20.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−18.71×
×19.43
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.6K
+$10.5K
$4.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL37.5%
+131.9 pp
-94.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.0 pp
95.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.6%
+15.2 pp
42.4%
Bot %64.8%
+16.6 pp
48.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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