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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on March 24?

data as of 2026-03-21 09:14 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$22−$3.8K$3.8K
Holders27−532
Trades345+178167
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.6%
−19.0 pp
76.6%
Avg ROI23.5%
+24.4 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.28
+2.31×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.60
+2.63×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$179
$182
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-72.3%
−74.7 pp
2.4%
Underwater %60.4%
+60.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.8%
+46.1 pp
35.6%
Bot %86.2%
+51.3 pp
34.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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