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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-05-22 07:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.9K−$4.2K$9.1K
Holders164+36128
Trades1.9K+2511.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.1%
−4.0 pp
51.1%
Avg ROI1.7%
+2.2 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×32.86
+32.19×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.35
+30.67×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.1K
−$1.2K
$3.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.13
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−148.7 pp
51.9%
Underwater %95.3%
+95.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.3%
−7.3 pp
67.7%
Bot %77.2%
−10.0 pp
87.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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