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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 03:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$27K$39K
Holders373−61434
Trades5.3K+2845.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.0%
−18.6 pp
63.6%
Avg ROI2.5%
+2.2 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.99
+12.23×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.84
+12.11×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.0K
−$16.8K
$27.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.03
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.4%
−130.7 pp
38.3%
Underwater %96.2%
+96.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.8%
+1.8 pp
74.0%
Bot %71.4%
−2.5 pp
73.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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