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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

data as of 2026-06-15 23:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$3.8K$14K
Holders347+79268
Trades2.6K+5212.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
−0.3 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI2.2%
+1.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.19
+18.71×
×0.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.42
+16.89×
×0.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.7K
−$79
$9.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−183.1 pp
88.6%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.9%
−2.4 pp
60.3%
Bot %63.2%
−4.5 pp
67.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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