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Will Trump say "Democrat" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

data as of 2026-03-25 23:37 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.6K+$2.4K$219
Holders29−130
Trades157+52105
NO
0¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate67.0%
+18.3 pp
48.8%
Avg ROI3.3%
+0.2 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.25×
×1.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.98
−0.24×
×1.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$711
+$710
$1
Recent buyer dominance1.00
−0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL2.1%
+21.6 pp
-19.5%
Underwater %56.6%
−22.6 pp
79.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.0%
−11.3 pp
35.4%
Bot %24.0%
−12.9 pp
37.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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