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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 19:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.0K+$2.5K$3.6K
Holders37−1552
Trades743−160903
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.8%
+17.0 pp
44.8%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−2.5 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−27.23×
×27.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−34.05×
×34.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$603
+$598
$5
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.07
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL60.9%
+158.1 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %4.1%
−95.9 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.0%
−10.6 pp
78.6%
Bot %71.1%
−4.1 pp
75.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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