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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-03 02:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$7.2K$15K
Holders329−11340
Trades2.5K−3722.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.8%
+1.6 pp
48.2%
Avg ROI1.3%
−1.9 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−20.11×
×20.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−18.97×
×19.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.4K
+$5.3K
$14.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.06
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.5%
+142.2 pp
-94.7%
Underwater %1.8%
−96.9 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.5%
+1.5 pp
35.0%
Bot %52.8%
+3.5 pp
49.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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