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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $121K and $122K on August 15 at 5PM ET?

data as of 2025-08-15 12:35 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$813−$80K$81K
Holders24+816
Trades136+36100
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate19.5%
−30.2 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI1.4%
−5.5 pp
6.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.97
−0.03×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.11
+0.12×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$518
−$15.5K
$16.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
−0.01
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-10.3%
−10.8 pp
0.5%
Underwater %20.6%
+20.2 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.7%
+2.3 pp
12.4%
Bot %13.9%
+1.5 pp
12.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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