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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

data as of 2026-03-23 22:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K−$15K$45K
Holders432−15447
Trades5.4K+155.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.6%
−10.9 pp
58.5%
Avg ROI-1.4%
−2.2 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×46.21
+45.68×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×43.71
+43.17×
×0.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$29.4K
−$6.5K
$35.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.00
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−179.9 pp
82.2%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.1%
+2.9 pp
82.1%
Bot %83.6%
+2.8 pp
80.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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