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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-23 06:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.7K−$1.5K$4.2K
Holders105+3570
Trades773+54719
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.3%
−15.4 pp
59.7%
Avg ROI3.1%
+3.0 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×36.28
+35.74×
×0.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×33.42
+32.80×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$400
−$1.5K
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.11
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−160.8 pp
64.0%
Underwater %90.4%
+88.9 pp
1.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.0%
+3.2 pp
47.7%
Bot %60.9%
−4.8 pp
65.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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