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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

data as of 2025-12-07 01:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.9K−$2.0K$9.0K
Holders119−18137
Trades1.5K−2971.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.4%
−25.5 pp
61.9%
Avg ROI12.4%
+12.6 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.30
+24.76×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.95
+24.41×
×0.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.9K
−$2.0K
$3.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.21
0.66
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−181.1 pp
84.6%
Underwater %94.2%
+94.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.9%
+6.7 pp
61.2%
Bot %70.2%
+4.9 pp
65.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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