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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 21:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$7.4K$25K
Holders447+19428
Trades3.9K+1443.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.5%
−7.1 pp
53.6%
Avg ROI8.2%
−0.2 pp
8.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.78
+40.18×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×30.50
+29.88×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.2K
−$3.2K
$17.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.14
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−163.6 pp
66.4%
Underwater %92.7%
+92.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.4%
+0.3 pp
34.1%
Bot %57.0%
+5.9 pp
51.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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