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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3AM ET

data as of 2026-05-22 08:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$1.7K$12K
Holders101−11112
Trades1.7K−1781.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.9%
−2.2 pp
51.1%
Avg ROI-0.8%
−1.6 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×53.57
+53.07×
×0.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×54.23
+53.74×
×0.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.3K
−$2.0K
$4.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.04
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−200.6 pp
102.6%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.2%
−2.6 pp
62.8%
Bot %67.6%
+3.9 pp
63.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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