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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

data as of 2026-02-16 16:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$59K+$48K$11K
Holders381−182563
Trades5.0K−3315.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.8%
+36.9 pp
27.9%
Avg ROI-1.6%
−10.1 pp
8.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−13.34×
×14.06
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−9.43×
×10.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$36.0K
+$26.1K
$9.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.02
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL29.8%
+119.9 pp
-90.1%
Underwater %18.6%
−49.8 pp
68.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.5%
+11.3 pp
62.2%
Bot %72.4%
+12.0 pp
60.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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