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Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?

data as of 2026-07-21 17:12 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
61¢
NO
22¢
YES
61¢
YesY-NNo
Position$32+$6$25
Holders303
Trades505
NO
22¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.3%
+2.5 pp
63.7%
Avg ROI0.2%
−0.5 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−0.26×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−0.60×
×1.28
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$5
−$42
$37
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL60.1%
+82.2 pp
-22.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−43.8 pp
43.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.9%
−47.3 pp
56.2%
Bot %8.9%
−47.3 pp
56.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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