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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 21:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.6K−$12K$21K
Holders261−100361
Trades2.3K−712.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
−2.3 pp
51.1%
Avg ROI0.5%
−0.5 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.53
+9.85×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.17
+8.49×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.3K
−$10.6K
$19.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.3%
−142.6 pp
52.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.2%
−0.9 pp
45.1%
Bot %65.5%
−2.3 pp
67.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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