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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

data as of 2026-03-18 22:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K−$32K$56K
Holders391+63328
Trades4.3K−5164.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.4%
−35.9 pp
82.3%
Avg ROI1.0%
−1.9 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.60
+17.11×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.20
+15.44×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23.0K
−$14.5K
$37.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.8%
−147.4 pp
53.6%
Underwater %94.1%
+76.6 pp
17.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.3%
+20.7 pp
51.6%
Bot %70.9%
+19.5 pp
51.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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