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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 18:53 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$11K$7.4K
Holders390+12378
Trades2.4K−1492.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.3%
+2.5 pp
48.9%
Avg ROI0.4%
+0.0 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−7.66×
×8.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
−8.62×
×9.40
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.1K
+$10.7K
$6.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.06
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL30.6%
+119.9 pp
-89.4%
Underwater %0.5%
−99.1 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.8%
−6.5 pp
36.3%
Bot %43.7%
−4.6 pp
48.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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