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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2026-01-24 21:25 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$47K+$37K$10K
Holders306+1305
Trades4.7K+1834.5K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.7%
+13.5 pp
41.3%
Avg ROI1.0%
−9.5 pp
10.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−12.06×
×12.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−11.89×
×12.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.0K
+$15.9K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.04
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL36.9%
+129.3 pp
-92.4%
Underwater %1.7%
−97.4 pp
99.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.1%
+1.6 pp
65.4%
Bot %66.6%
+2.3 pp
64.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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