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Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-09-04?

data as of 2025-09-04 15:13 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.3K−$14K$16K
Holders29+524
Trades96−15111
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.9%
−23.6 pp
59.5%
Avg ROI-3.7%
−7.7 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.41
+1.50×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.13
+1.20×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12
−$209
$221
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-53.1%
−60.5 pp
7.4%
Underwater %91.0%
+89.0 pp
2.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.7%
+3.5 pp
23.2%
Bot %26.7%
+3.5 pp
23.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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