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Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 61–70 times during March Madness?

data as of 2026-04-03 15:03 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$218−$2.8K$3.0K
Holders52−355
Trades329+183146
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.5%
−34.7 pp
71.1%
Avg ROI8.0%
+8.7 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.43
+15.66×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.68
+10.83×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$2
+$27
−$29
Recent buyer dominance0.33
+0.11
0.22
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.8%
−108.7 pp
17.8%
Underwater %95.2%
+91.4 pp
3.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.9%
−11.1 pp
71.0%
Bot %61.6%
−8.9 pp
70.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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