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Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $490 on January 30?

data as of 2026-01-30 12:56 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$9+$4$5
Holders26+251
Trades42+411
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−96.4 pp
96.4%
Avg ROI0.0%
+3.4 pp
-3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.33
−0.67×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.33
−0.67×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
−$5
$5
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL200.0%
+200.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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