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Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 22 - 28)

data as of 2025-12-25 06:52 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.4K+$2.0K$373
Holders22−830
Trades91−39130
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.8%
+12.6 pp
47.2%
Avg ROI19.1%
+8.5 pp
10.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.94
−92.76×
×93.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
−81.73×
×82.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$5
$5
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL12.9%
+111.7 pp
-98.8%
Underwater %13.7%
−73.1 pp
86.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.0%
−0.2 pp
14.2%
Bot %23.0%
−11.6 pp
34.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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