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Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

data as of 2026-05-04 18:07 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$14K−$11K$26K
Holders232−173405
Trades4.1K+8903.2K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.3%
−3.2 pp
63.5%
Avg ROI6.4%
+3.4 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−27.15×
×27.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.58
−28.80×
×29.37
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$58
+$57
$1
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.38
0.60
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL102.0%
+198.4 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %17.6%
−77.0 pp
94.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.7%
−11.2 pp
24.9%
Bot %14.2%
−9.9 pp
24.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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