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Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 2.5

data as of 2026-02-01 00:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$58−$733$791
Holders10+55
Trades11−920
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.8%
−6.8 pp
45.5%
Avg ROI8.9%
+16.9 pp
-8.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.02×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.02×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$55
+$28
$28
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+2.3 pp
-2.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−94.2 pp
94.2%
Bot %0.0%
−94.2 pp
94.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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