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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

data as of 2026-03-01 17:17 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K−$26K$47K
Holders396−59455
Trades4.1K+7223.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate23.6%
−34.3 pp
58.0%
Avg ROI-54.8%
−54.3 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.15
+15.43×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.36
+16.63×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.2K
+$104
$20.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.08
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.6%
−132.4 pp
38.8%
Underwater %94.6%
+93.5 pp
1.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.0%
−34.1 pp
80.1%
Bot %44.7%
−34.6 pp
79.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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