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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

data as of 2025-10-25 00:26 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.5K−$1.1K$2.6K
Holders38+236
Trades633+159474
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.7%
−4.7 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI1.7%
+2.9 pp
-1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.08
+1.46×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.99
+1.36×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$604
+$274
$330
Recent buyer dominance0.74
+0.07
0.67
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-51.2%
−111.2 pp
60.0%
Underwater %96.0%
+96.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.5%
−8.6 pp
78.1%
Bot %69.5%
−9.7 pp
79.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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