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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET

data as of 2026-05-30 22:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$907−$7.0K$7.9K
Holders65+1352
Trades882+54828
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.7%
−9.1 pp
54.8%
Avg ROI0.4%
−0.2 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.25
+18.43×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.49
+15.67×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$351
$355
Recent buyer dominance0.70
−0.14
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.1%
−114.5 pp
20.5%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.7%
−2.2 pp
60.9%
Bot %72.0%
−5.3 pp
77.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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