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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-19 00:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.3K−$18K$24K
Holders352+70282
Trades2.3K+3341.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.3%
−4.8 pp
52.1%
Avg ROI1.0%
+0.6 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.38
+18.78×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.39
+16.77×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.8K
−$2.1K
$7.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−157.9 pp
63.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.8%
−5.0 pp
53.8%
Bot %72.4%
−0.2 pp
72.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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