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Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-28 05:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$705−$143K$144K
Holders133−74207
Trades4.5K+3.0K1.5K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−69.2 pp
69.2%
Avg ROI0.0%
+0.8 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−0.42×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.58
−0.42×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$12
$12
Recent buyer dominance0.53
−0.47
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL71.6%
+71.6 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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