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Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

data as of 2025-12-04 17:43 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Sep 13, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
3¢
NO
96¢
YES
3¢
YesY-NNo
Position$59−$8.1K$8.1K
Holders74−1286
Trades656+274382
NO
96¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−23.3 pp
71.7%
Avg ROI67.0%
+61.2 pp
5.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.33
+0.33×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.29
+0.29×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$39
$41
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-22.7%
−22.7 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %88.2%
−11.8 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %88.2%
+88.2 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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