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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 02:18 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.8K−$22K$28K
Holders351+3348
Trades2.5K+3032.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
−3.5 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI1.0%
+0.2 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.61
+7.78×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.17
+8.34×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.7K
−$20.7K
$26.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.4%
−112.5 pp
23.0%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.1%
−10.3 pp
41.4%
Bot %45.7%
−13.2 pp
59.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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