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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

data as of 2025-12-04 15:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$12K$26K
Holders138+9129
Trades3.1K−673.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.4%
−22.4 pp
65.8%
Avg ROI2.1%
+2.7 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.51
+27.80×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.70
+29.03×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.6K
−$2.7K
$8.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.79
+0.09
0.71
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.6%
−143.5 pp
47.0%
Underwater %97.1%
+97.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.4%
+4.3 pp
77.1%
Bot %80.3%
+3.0 pp
77.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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