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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

data as of 2026-04-21 13:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$9.4K$27K
Holders435+53382
Trades4.0K−184.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.5%
−9.2 pp
51.7%
Avg ROI7.8%
+6.5 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×45.89
+45.37×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.94
+37.43×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.2K
−$2.4K
$19.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−188.0 pp
90.6%
Underwater %93.1%
+93.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.4%
−1.0 pp
74.3%
Bot %76.5%
−3.3 pp
79.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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