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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on April 18?

data as of 2026-04-16 17:14 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5−$528$534
Holders18−927
Trades303+185118
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.2%
−52.9 pp
90.1%
Avg ROI32.0%
+29.9 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.32
+1.33×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.14
+2.14×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$70
$70
Recent buyer dominance0.61
−0.39
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-67.8%
−68.5 pp
0.8%
Underwater %79.8%
+74.8 pp
5.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.5%
+37.5 pp
2.0%
Bot %39.5%
+38.7 pp
0.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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