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Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?

data as of 2026-05-30 06:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$547−$2.8K$3.4K
Holders58058
Trades296+98198
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.5%
−31.3 pp
75.8%
Avg ROI-3.0%
−5.7 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.12
+13.26×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.68
+11.80×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$80
$81
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.18
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−107.0 pp
14.8%
Underwater %99.9%
+98.2 pp
1.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %19.3%
−19.2 pp
38.5%
Bot %16.2%
−23.3 pp
39.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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