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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

data as of 2026-01-23 05:45 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$31K+$3.4K$28K
Holders390+147243
Trades6.3K+2986.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.7%
−15.9 pp
50.5%
Avg ROI16.0%
+17.4 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×61.23
+60.88×
×0.36
Top-20 avg cost vs price×54.07
+53.69×
×0.38
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.8K
+$1.8K
$8.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.10
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.2%
−260.3 pp
162.2%
Underwater %85.6%
+85.6 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.6%
−13.9 pp
70.5%
Bot %57.1%
−13.8 pp
70.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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