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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 4?

data as of 2026-07-02 06:23 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
16¢
NO
80¢
YES
16¢
YesY-NNo
Position$10−$34$44
Holders1−12
Trades202
NO
80¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.7%
−35.8 pp
80.5%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−7.2 pp
6.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.05×
×1.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.05×
×1.05
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$35
$44
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.13
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+4.5 pp
-4.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.3 pp
95.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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