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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5PM ET

data as of 2025-09-13 21:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.8K−$29K$33K
Holders61−566
Trades803−30833
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.4%
−11.3 pp
56.7%
Avg ROI8.7%
+10.2 pp
-1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.89
+17.23×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.91
+13.25×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$158
−$103
$260
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.36
0.62
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.6%
−146.7 pp
54.2%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.5%
+30.3 pp
31.2%
Bot %62.7%
+31.0 pp
31.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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