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Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 21?

data as of 2026-05-21 08:11 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$256−$3.8K$4.1K
Holders85+2560
Trades429+163266
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.7%
−36.5 pp
73.2%
Avg ROI15.2%
+13.7 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−0.40×
×1.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−0.37×
×1.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15
−$241
$256
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.11
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL24.0%
+28.7 pp
-4.7%
Underwater %35.5%
−40.3 pp
75.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.0%
+6.4 pp
13.6%
Bot %24.9%
+11.5 pp
13.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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