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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

data as of 2026-03-14 23:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$15K$28K
Holders297+26271
Trades4.1K−2214.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.7%
−12.6 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI6.5%
+8.4 pp
-1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×42.03
+41.44×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.83
+40.26×
×0.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.3K
−$6.7K
$19.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.01
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−171.5 pp
74.1%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.3%
−0.0 pp
79.3%
Bot %79.1%
+1.3 pp
77.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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