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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 07:15 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Up🗓️ settles Jul 9, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
49¢
DOWN
51¢
UP
49¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.8K+$3.6K$189
Holders17+413
Trades155+4151
DOWN
51¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.6%
+4.2 pp
44.4%
Avg ROI0.4%
+0.9 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.02
+0.06×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
+0.06×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$535
+$1.5K
−$953
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-2.0%
−6.0 pp
4.1%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.9%
−52.4 pp
54.3%
Bot %2.3%
−52.0 pp
54.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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