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Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?

data as of 2026-01-29 13:44 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Nov 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
92¢
NO
6¢
YES
92¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.3K+$3.0K$263
Holders17−724
Trades90−19109
NO
6¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−5.9 pp
55.9%
Avg ROI-10.9%
−114.4 pp
103.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.33×
×1.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.32×
×1.32
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$100
+$91
$9
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+24.0 pp
-24.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.7 pp
97.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−92.1 pp
92.1%
Bot %0.0%
−92.1 pp
92.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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