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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-24 20:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$50K$64K
Holders428+10418
Trades5.1K+7104.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.7%
−7.3 pp
55.1%
Avg ROI-1.9%
−4.6 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.33
+9.57×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.01
+9.27×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.4K
−$32.1K
$44.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.5%
−123.3 pp
32.7%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.9%
+6.7 pp
76.2%
Bot %82.0%
+6.6 pp
75.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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